Thứ Năm, 24 tháng 5, 2012

Do not rosy economic realities - social '


Not only mode of government reports more "pink" in the discussion today, many deputies also take evidence from the fact that voters che day cao bang throughout the country have not really comfortable about the economic situation society in 2012.
Deputy Tran Hoang Ngan spoke at the session of the HCM City delegation on 24/5. Photo: Dung Tran
Targets not achieved in 7 of the plan in 2011, most of camera quan sat whom are serious problems with the economy. GDP increased by only 5.89% lower than the previous year increased by 6.78%. While bank viec lam dau khi loans remain the most important source of nurturing the economy, the total payment increased only 12.37% (15-16% of plan), while outstanding loans increased by only 14.41% (accounting transportation plan is less than 20%).

Entering 2012, GDP growth continue to stagnate over the previous year, quarter, while only 4% growth rate last year was 5.57% and 2010 is 5.84%.

The most direct consequence of the situation on the end of 2011, the business must be dissolved, stop working or to reduce production by 24.7% over the previous year. Four months of this year, there were over 17,700 business dissolution procedures and outages, increased 9.5% over the same period in which most business is wholesale, retail, industrial, mining, construction and real estate ... the same time, nearly 172,000 registered unemployed workers, an increase of 61.4% over the same period.

Although recognized economy began to appear signs of declining growth, but in reports submitted to this session of Congress, the Government still evaluating "social and economic situation in the first  viec lam dau khi 4 months of the year has the positive changes and achieving initial results. "



Disagreed with this assessment, the National Assembly Economic Committee that the signs of economic decline and social security issues arise is difficult, very challenging. Quarter GDP not only regressed compared with previous years, but also lower than expected by the Government (estimated 5-6% in the first quarter and 4.5% in the second quarter), threatening the achievement of objectives 6 to 6.5% annual growth.

Inflation control and decrease the trade deficit is considered a huge success in the work of running the government. 4 months CPI rose 2.6% while imports accounted for only 0.53% of total exports (same period 2010 and 2011, respectively 23.4% and 16.5%).

But participants warned Lich inflation is so worrisome because purchasing power decreased, part of the reason may be the public investment and monetary tightening too tight. Trade deficit reduction is not necessarily a good sign because the business no longer fit to import equipment and raw materials camera quan sat for production and business.



"Tightening monetary policy against inflation, but as the economy floundered, many businesses bankrupt. Record trade deficit should look cautiously behind us again if not surprised because of its consequences, "the economist said.

He said this year's GDP target difficult to achieve 6 to 6.5% but will likely 5-6% is within reach if timely solution and change the balance between curbing inflation to record high economic growth.

"Money raised running around in the bank is not a business, making business is still missing 'blood'. The World Bank is not excessive. If entrenched corporate bankruptcy, which not only increase the bad debt does viec lam dau khi not require that all creditors, "he warned Calendar.



High interest rates, tightening credit too much momentum as the story mentions the most delegates in the discussions at the socio-economic situation in 2012 today. Delegate Nguyen Quoc Binh worried about high interest rates as at present, the enterprise concerned full pay for employees was difficult, not to mention an investment and business expansion, and so will have no power to curb inflation, ensure social welfare. Deputy Nguyen Minh Quang said that even as interest rates remain high over time is the poison that killed business faster.

"The solution to the monetary tightening over time we use slightly overdose, drug poisoning cause. The number of bankrupt enterprises increased, accompanied by hundreds of thousands of people unemployed, "delegate Tran Hoang Ngan, who is intimately familiar with the banking sector, said flatly. He said the report is to reflect the health of the economy, but if false reports, red paint will make the policy making untimely, unreasonable.

As the owner of a large corporation, Dang Thi Hoang Yen representatives warned state interests in banking, capital flows that can go wrong address, business enterprise less important but very difficult to access system if accepted for brokerage costs, borrowing capacity is higher.

"For 6 to 6.5% GDP growth, Congress required 15-17% credit growth. But negative real credit for several months. Without capital, businesses die or face the risk of takeover interest groups, then bought and resold for profit. Yet reading the report, I still see lots of pink, "she said Yen enlisted in the little time remaining in Congress, before it can be dismissed on Saturday this week for allegedly misleading information private candidates.

More attention to social issues, representatives of Ha Minh Hue said that the report of the Government are more pink, but because not highlighted and thorough evaluation of the status of social problems are arising, should voters can not make the country completely assured. Share this point, deputies viec lam dau khi said Pham Xuan Truong people's confidence decreased after the type series of Vinashin, Vinalines. Tien Lang resolve slow services, and the problems that arise in the enforcement of land camera quan sat in Van Giang also made urgent opinion.



"In the past, but economic difficulties better spiritual life now. Now the difficult economic recently, both mental suffering. People have so many questions about the status of their increased costs, food insecurity, disease encirclement. As long as the situation was also found that social life is how, "one woman told deputies union HCMC.

On solutions to remove difficulties, delegates Lich ask Congress should strongly support tax breaks for individual households and business. According to him, despite lower revenue but this will be an important source of encouragement camera quan sat for small businesses, of which 3 million household businesses are suffering from HCM City presumptive tax forms. Many small businesses these days Ho Chi Minh City business should not be left floating stall, close the store, if not facilitate, the 2013 will have more bankruptcy protection production and even greater losses.



"Hundreds of thousands of businesses, millions of households and business is looking to Congress. businesses do not survive the restructuring of how this "- he confided Calendar.

Delegate Nguyen Ngoc Hoa entrepreneurs Congress have also proposed solutions to solve business and must have a policy stimulus by cutting VAT and personal income taxes and curb water prices, gas prices viec lam dau khi, reduced pressurepower to the people.



Meanwhile, Tran Hoang Ngan delegates proposed to build two systems solutions short and long term. With short-term solution, to support workers, social security benefits, tax support costs for enterprises, promoting domestic viec lam dau khi and foreign markets. But long-term solution is related to restructuring, to fiscal policy and long-term currency.

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